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Institute for the Study of War
9/ ISW-CTP will provide additional analysis on the current status of the war in our June 10 update. Read ISW-CTP’s latest update here:
4/ CENTCOM framed the strikes as a "proportional response" to Iran’s downing of a US Apache helicopter in the Gulf of Oman yesterday. An Iranian drone downed the aircraft, though Iran has not claimed responsibility for the incident yet.
2/ The Iranian regime has attempted to drag out the talks and delay any substantive negotiations over its nuclear program or control over the Strait of Hormuz by demanding US concessions and pre-conditions. One of these pre-conditions has been the Iranian demand for a complete ceasefire in Lebanon.
7/ Trump said that he might order strikes on Iranian power plants and bridges in Iran if Iran’s approach to the negotiations does not change. A Qatari delegation arrived in Tehran today to discuss an agreement with regime officials.
3/ Trump’s threats to order new strikes follow the largest exchange of fire between the US and Iran since the ceasefire began in April. The US military struck over 20 Iranian air defense sites, ground control stations, surveillance radar sites, and possibly other targets in southern Iran last night.
8/ Iranian officials have not indicated any willingness to make concessions or speed up the talks since the US strikes on southern Iran, however.
5/ Iran likely targeted the Apache due to the role Apache gunships can play in air defense against Iranian drones over the strait or in intercepting Iranian fast attack craft.
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NEW: US President Donald Trump said this morning that he may soon order new strikes on targets in Iran due to Iran’s prolongment of negotiations. Trump warned that Iran would “pay the price” for delaying an agreement. (1/9)
6/ Iran retaliated to US strikes in southern Iran by launching ballistic missiles and drones targeting US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. There do not appear to be any casualties from Iran’s attacks.
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War
understandingwar.org
The Iranian regime is attempting to use calibrated force in an attempt to extract concessions from the United States.
