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Very lucky to have been able to collaborate on this Annual Review piece on luck with @fabriberna.bsky.social, William Foley and @l-sage.bsky.social. We propose that the role of luck in life can be upper-bounded with machine learning and lower-bounded by adding up causal effects of random events.
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Arnout van de Rijt
New paper out in Annual Review of Sociology with @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social #W.Foley and @l-sage.bsky.social "Luck and Predictability in the Life Course" We take stock of what we know about luck and its role in shaping life-courses and inequality www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
1mo
www.annualreviews.org
There is an emerging recognition among sociological theorists that luck may play a substantial role in life course achievement. There is also a nascent empirical literature that finds life outcomes to...
Luck and Predictability in the Life Course
Fabrizio Bernardi