Very lucky to have been able to collaborate on this Annual Review piece on luck with @fabriberna.bsky.social, William Foley and @l-sage.bsky.social.
We propose that the role of luck in life can be upper-bounded with machine learning and lower-bounded by adding up causal effects of random events.
Arnout van de Rijt
New paper out in Annual Review of Sociology with @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social #W.Foley and @l-sage.bsky.social
"Luck and Predictability in the Life Course"
We take stock of what we know about luck and its role in shaping life-courses and inequality
www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
www.annualreviews.org
There is an emerging recognition among sociological theorists that luck may play a substantial role in life course achievement. There is also a nascent empirical literature that finds life outcomes to...