I'm interested in climate research, systemic change in our food system and the transition to a sustainable world. Focused on monetary policy and central banking in a previous life.
Climate Action
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As heat compresses expected returns on capital, investment falls, reducing future productive capacity in a self-reinforcing drag."
"More consequentially for long-run growth, in such a scenario the decline in fixed capital formation systematically exceeds consumption losses, reaching 8% on average across affected countries:
"Under this trajectory, cumulative implied GDP losses (2026 – 2030) could reach 5–7% for the most exposed economies: USD240bn for France, USD354bn for Japan, USD147bn for Italy, USD131bn for Germany and USD120bn for Spain."
"While China has never officially defined how it measures carbon intensity, it has now made what appears to be a retrospective change, with the effect of making targets easier to meet"
www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chi...
"Extreme heat is emerging as a structural economic risk, with Europe highly exposed. [...]
The economic transmission of heat stress is non-linear, with a critical threshold around 30°C beyond which productivity losses intensify sharply." www.allianz.com/en/economic_...
Multidecadal Atlantic “Warming Hole” Heat Content Variations Are Caused by Ocean Heat Transport, Not by Surface Fluxes agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/...
"[...] we find that 1ºC warming reduces world GDP by over 20% in the long run. [...] Business-as-usual warming implies a present welfare loss of more than 30%, and a social cost of carbon in excess of $1,200 per ton." academic.oup.com/qje/article/...
🌳 Bomen koelen je stad, maar alleen onder de juiste omstandigheden. Onze nieuwe studie met Leuven.cool toont aan dat stadsgroen veel minder koelt bij vochtige lucht, intense straling én droge bodems. Bomen planten alleen is niet genoeg: bodembeheer is minstens even belangrijk! 🧵 1/4
‘Stort hij in, dan zal dat een domino-effect teweegbrengen in de gehele West-Antarctische ijskap. Dit kan uiteindelijk leiden tot een zeespiegelstijging van 3,3 meter, die wereldwijd kustlijnen zal veranderen.’
www.newscientist.nl/nieuws/ijspl...
Climate Action
Climate Action
Abstract. This article estimates that the macroeconomic damages from climate change are an order of magnitude larger than previously thought. Exploiting na