@ecfr.bsky.social ideas and analysis on Europe’s security, defence, enlargement, resilience and eastern neighbourhood dynamics
ECFR European Security
Within that popular realism, however, dwells a challenge to Europe’s leaders: to adapt to voters’ sense of the possible and, with several major European elections looming in 2027, to use its opportunities while they can.
ecfr.eu/publication/...
But Europeans do think the relationship will likely improve after Trump and want to leave the door open to that possibility.
Europeans’ new-found realism manifests itself in three notable areas:
First, European trust in the US has crashed to new lows. Europeans do not expect America under Trump to protect them, and they recognise the need for more autonomous security (even funded by common debt).
Second, although they continue to back Ukraine, Europeans do not believe the EU’s eastward enlargement would be a good idea in the current context. They are also reluctant to send their own troops to keep the peace in a post-war Ukraine.
Third, Europeans have learned the lessons of depending on Russian oil and gas. Even as a new energy crunch bears down on living standards, they are resolute in opposing purchases of fossil fuels from Russia
A new ECFR poll shows Europeans embrace self-reliance and are clear-eyed about Trump—but do not expect a permanent break from the US.
@jkobzova.bsky.social & @pawelzerka.bsky.social take a closer look at this ⬇️
ecfr.eu/publication/...
The Russian threat is not going away any time soon. To defend themselves without America’s help, Europeans need to pursue a new, distinctly European model of defence and deterrence.
@jpuglierin.bsky.social, @rafaelloss.bsky.social & @mprochwicz.bsky.social explore how ⬇️
ecfr.eu/publication/...
ECFR European Security
ECFR European Security
(🧵) ECFR's major new polling-backed study reveals that European publics have lost faith in the United States to uphold its #NATO obligations, and are now prepared defend themselves.
Read the full report by @pawelzerka.bsky.social and @jkobzova.bsky.social 👇
ecfr.eu/publication/...
ECFR European Security
ECFR European Security
ECFR European Security
The Russian threat is not going away any time soon. To defend themselves without America’s help, Europeans need to pursue a new, distinctly European model of de
A new #defence model would set Europeans up to defend themselves with America where possible, with less America where necessary and without America if it comes to that. 👇
@jpuglierin.bsky.social @mprochwicz.bsky.social @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4vuMlD7
A new way of European #defence should build the capabilities, command structures and political arrangements that allow it to act if Washington will not—while keeping the US engaged wherever possible.
Read how to make defence European again 👇 @ecfrpower.bsky.social #NATO
https://bit.ly/43TmF7r
