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Even if Irani retaliation to US-Israeli aggression temporarily pushes Riyadh & Abu Dhabi toward tactical convergence, it won't dissolve their deeper strategic rivalry in Sudan and the Red Sea.
My latest for ISPI explores how LAAF-RSF cooperation is transforming logistics & border corridors' governance into geopolitical currency in the competition between Saudi Arabia & the UAE - playing out across the Horn, Sudan, Libya & Chad.
#Libya #Chad #Sudan @emadbadi.bsky.social 'In weakly governed borderlands, the market for #mercenary labour and the market for #weapons interact to entrench a regionalized economy of insecurity.. networks in which weapons, fighters, fuel and [ICT] move together' globalinitiative.net/analysis/imp...
This long-form piece reflects on 5 years of Turkish involvement in Libya, tracing Ankara’s interventions at key political junctures - most recently downing a GNU-launched drone to halt its offensive. It examines how Turkey is recalibrating its role - and to what end.