Former US Amb @NATO. Now Senior Fellow @BelferCenter. Host World Review Podcast. Author America Abroad Substack. Policy Wonk. Dog lover. Baseball fan. New Chicagoan. Old Dutchman.
Ivo Daalder
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Trump says the Strait of Hormuz will be "free and open."
Open, maybe. But Iran will control access to the Gulf — and short of occupying a big swath of Iran, there's nothing Trump can do about it.
My CNN interview + full analysis: newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/trump-says...
My CNN interview on the Iran negotiations, the Strait of Hormuz, and the nuclear deal we threw away
The US has the most powerful military in history. It hasn’t won a war in 30 years. That’s not a paradox. It’s a pattern — and it has three causes. My new @politico.eu column. www.politico.eu/article/amer...
Trump went to war with Iran to deal with its nuclear program.
Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz.
We agree to end the war in order to reopen the Strait.
We’ll do nuclear negotiations another time.
Guess that’s Trump’s Art of the Deal.
The U.S. may have the strongest military in the world, but repeated failures reflect a deeper flaw in its approach to military conflict.
www.politico.eu
This week on World Review: A phony war in the Gulf, Ukraine takes charge, and America abandons public health. Thanks to the panel -- @bobbyghosh.bsky.social, Yasmeen Abutaleb, Chris Miller -- and to Carla Robbins for expertly guest hosting. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/world-revi...
The U.S. has the largest, most capable military in the world — and has consistently lost the wars it starts since Vietnam. Iran won't be different. My conversation with @npr.org's Scott Simon on what's going wrong and what a smarter strategy would look like. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/were-losin...
This week: Boat strikes have little impact on cocaine supply, Bill Burns reflects on how to deal with Iran, why Iran doesn’t trust Trump, and a whole lot of interviews, including in Dutch and Italian with yours truly. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/publish/post...
New episode of World Review is up. Iran's "deal" is mostly smoke. Europe searches for a diplomatic voice. The Pope takes on Big Tech — and wins the argument. With @sbg1.bsky.social, @shonamurray.bsky.social and Michael Shear of the NYT. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/world-revi... #WorldReview
Trump flew to Beijing — and bowed.
Xi didn't offer "win-win cooperation." He offered "constructive strategic stability" — on China's terms, with China's red lines.
This isn't a new détente. It's a new hierarchy.
My latest for
@notusperspectives.bsky.social www.notus.org/perspectives...
Perry Link, Patricia M. Kim, Uzra Zeya, Brian Tronic, Ivo Daalder, Chris McGuire, Kishore Mahbubani, Jacob Stokes, Anita Kellogg, Henrietta Levin, Zack Cooper
I spoke with CNN about Russia's drone strike on a Romanian apartment. Bottom line: whether deliberate or not, it's a direct consequence of Putin's war — and a test of whether NATO, and Washington, will respond. So far, mostly silence from the White House. youtu.be/zz-uNvyqaDE
The US and Iran are close to reaching a deal to end the war. The big question: Are we better of than before the war? My answer: no way. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/are-we-bet...
The US and Iran are close to a deal ending their war. That's good. But are we better off now than before the war?
