New short meta-survey on the SSPP: can you predict how well people predict?
Try your hand at it:
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/0f... @socscipredict.bsky.social @sdellavi.bsky.social
Increasingly, researchers gather forecasts ex ante about the results of their research studies. Ex post, this allows for a comparison with the results to gauge contributions to the literature. But wha...
