Stay In The Room Because the people who leave are the ones who lose Political analysis at home and abroad — power, fragmentation, and the case for staying in the conversation
Stay in the Room
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Both Doors Lead Outside — new piece.
Brexit didn't cause the Belfast riots. It changed the constitutional geometry through which they're experienced. Close the border, you get rioting. Keep it open, you get rioting.
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The story we're told about Europe: the strongmen are winning. I think it's backwards. A storm that's breaking up fights hardest right before it goes. An inventory of what Europe actually has — and the sovereignty question Britain won't ask straight. New piece: substack.com/@davidpresto...
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Disinformation doesn't need to. It takes something true and terrible — a real killing, a real police failure — and quietly removes the distinction that would let you read it correctly. New piece on the foghorn, Makerfield, and the only thing that's ever stopped it.
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New on Stay In The Room: The Wrong Map. Blair read the territory right and drew the wrong map on AI and energy. The real question isn't sovereignty vs net zero. It's who pays for the infrastructure — us, or the companies generating the demand.
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This week the US told its European allies, in a closed NATO meeting: the submarines are leaving.
GCHQ put 500,000 Russian dead on the record. A drone hit a NATO flat for the 28th time. Britain blocked a Ukraine funding plan.
New piece: read together, the metal is moving
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the same week Blair published 6,000 words on holding faith with the alliance, a Pentagon adviser told NATO political directors what they would no longer be getting. No submarines. A third fewer fighters. Bombers halved The two events belong in the same conversation
Broadsheet Edition: Disinformation no longer needs to lie. It takes something true and removes the distinction that would let you read it correctly. The answer is not a better argument.
The wrong map: Blair has misread who should pay for Britain's AI future) The former prime minister is right that AI changes everything. He is wrong to treat ...
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The week the submarines left, GCHQ put half a million Russian dead on the record, and the question Britain keeps refusing to ask got harder to defer
Blair told Britain to keep faith with the alliance. The same week, the Pentagon told the alliance what it would no longer be getting.
open.substack.com
What looks like darkness advancing across Europe is darkness fighting for its life. An inventory of what Europe actually has, and the sovereignty question Britain keeps refusing to ask.
Brexit did not cause the Belfast riots. It changed the constitutional geometry through which they are now experienced.
substack.com
A killing in Southampton, a by-election in Makerfield, and the machine that turns real grievance into fear of your neighbour. Plus the only thing that has ever stopped it.
substack.com
The week the submarines left, GCHQ put half a million Russian dead on the record, and the question Britain keeps refusing to ask got harder to defer
Broadsheet Edition: The riots are the trigger. The trap is older, and harder to fix than the week implies.
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Blair has read the territory correctly and drawn the wrong map. The AI energy question is not about sovereignty or net zero. It is about who pays for the infrastructure.