Political & security analyst. 🇪🇺🇭🇺🇺🇸. FPRI Eurasia fellow, Delphi GRC fellow. Bear Market Brief contributor. Ex-CEPA, ESI. Posts about 🇷🇺, 🇪🇺, illiberalism & its limits. My own views.
Здесь вам не Toth.
www.noyardstick.com
minczifra.substack.com
András Tóth-Czifra
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Since the start of the year, assessments of Russia's industrial growth have diverged sharply from figures published by state statistics agency Rosstat.
Growing discrepancies between Russia's official industrial production statistics and independent estimates are raising questions among economists about the reliability of government data at a time whe...
Ukraine has the opportunity to do something very funny here.
A fundamental misunderstanding of what sanctions do and what they have achieved. The congresswoman should educate herself before posting or voting.
Once again, illiberalism, no matter what fancy name or ideological cover is given to it, is always ultimately about facilitating theft.
The weekend is here and @bearmarketbrief.bsky.social is out! Read about the background of the St Petersburg Economic Forum, repression, corruption and war participants in regional politics, and more!
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András Tóth-Czifra
András Tóth-Czifra
András Tóth-Czifra
András Tóth-Czifra
There was a Fidesz ideologue who once said, "What you call corruption is the essence of the system." Seems he was right but we're just learning by how much. The Integrity Authority estimates Orban's rule cost Hungary €160B(!) in corruption. That equals ~2/3 of 🇭🇺 GDP. www.ft.com/content/0c44...
Damn, Russia has banned the human rights group OVD-Info as an "extremist/terrorist organization." They were one of the last major outfits still inside Russia coordinating legal assistance for people facing various kinds of political persecution. t.me/Ateobreaking...
There was a Fidesz ideologue who once said, "What you call corruption is the essence of the system." Seems he was right but we're just learning by how much. The Integrity Authority estimates Orban's rule cost Hungary €160B(!) in corruption. That equals ~2/3 of 🇭🇺 GDP. www.ft.com/content/0c44...
According to the latest federal budget data, Russia recruited 71,216 contract soldiers in Q1 2026, confirming a slow start to the year. However, newer regional budget data indicates stabilization of recruitment at 1,000 per day in April-May.
My latest report:
open.substack.com/pub/janisklu...
The Moscow Times
Head of Hungary’s anti-graft body says €160bn may have been siphoned off during ex-PM’s 16 years in power
The latest federal budget data confirms a slowdown in recruitment to around 800 per day in Q1, but newer regional data shows stabilization at closer to 1,000 per day in April-May 2026.
Росфинмониторинг внес правозащитную организацию «ОВД-Инфо» в реестр «экстремистских и террористических организаций».
t.me
Is it the smell of burning oil after Ukrainian drone strikes?
The foreign policy establishment continues to return to the same failed playbook and expects different results. Economic sanctions fail to achieve their desired goals and in most cases are counterproductive to ending war.
