Analyzing intergenerational mobility of wealth and income across US counties, highlighting spatial differences due to factors such as house prices and the Great Recession shock, from Ariel J. Binder, Max Risch, and John L. Voorheis www.nber.org/papers/w35219
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The latest CFSv2 model results for El Nino (ONI) anomalies later this year are kinda nuts, with a peak at nearly 3.9C in November.
NOAA needs to once again raise the y-axis range; here is what it should look like without all the runs above 4C cut off:
I have become somewhat radicalized on this: if we require realization for capital gains or losses to be considered income, we absolutely need to do the same for depreciation being considered a business expense
ECWMF's Nino Plumes Viewer now includes (or at least I'm just now noticing it) a dashed line for actual monthly Nino-3.4 anomalies for historical forecasts (charts.ecmwf.int/products/sea...). If you go back to recent forecasts, the actual anomalies were at the upper end of the model forecast spread.
They're going to end up reconstructing managers in the aggregate is the thing--the idea is your enterprise tools have all the visibility you used to have via human managers, which requires everyone to diligently label everything so the LLMs can understand it, which is going to require...Management
Probably leans towards "talking about a super el-nino is fearmongering" takes being misguided.
People like aid to the poor and social security but hate welfare spending