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A House Divided | IMP #462
Help support people affected by Myanmar’s crisis—donate to Better Burma Foundation (501(c)(3)) → https://www.betterburma.org/donation Political scientist Dulyapak Preecharush uses Myanmar’s recent history to show how a military‑designed hybrid regime can manage conflict and reform without ever yielding real democracy. By tracing capital relocation, federalism debates, armed resistance, and great‑power rivalry, he explains why Myanmar’s crisis is central to understanding war, state‑building, and stalled democratization worldwide. For the latest episodes, subscribe in your podcast app: http://insightmyanmar.org/listen In this episode: • Hear Dulyapak Preecharush outline his concept of Myanmar’s hybrid political regime under the 2008 Constitution, where military guardianship coexists with elections and parliaments. • Explore the strategic, developmental, and symbolic reasons behind relocating the capital from Yangon to Naypyidaw, including fortified urban design and Buddhist–monarchical imagery such as pagodas and white elephants. • Trace the contested history of federalism from the 1947 Panglong vision and the 1962 coup through the Thein Sein and NLD eras, the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement, and post‑coup experiments in federal democracy. • Examine how today’s Myanmar combines centralized unitarian control in the Burman heartland, de facto confederal zones under forces like the Arakan Army and Wa authorities, and ongoing struggles for democratic federalism… • Assess the military’s tightly managed elections as expressions of hybrid rule, including scenarios for renewed civilian–military power‑sharing versus prolonged polarization and revolutionary attempts to break military… • Consider how fragmented opposition structures, the National Unity Government, and local armed and civic actors reshape elite–mass relations and complicate the emergence of a unified alternative authority. Chapters 00:00:00 Intro and podcast information 00:01:53 Guest background and Myanmar research 00:04:43 Why Myanmar moved its capital inland 00:13:36 Naypyidaw as fortified island capital 00:17:45 Federalization history and turning points 00:29:04 Peace process gains, breakdown, and elections 00:38:07 Hybrid regime logic and disciplined democracy 00:47:26 Elites, masses, and fragmented opposition 01:01:02 Geopolitics: China, Russia, US and others 01:06:59 Thailand’s border role and humanitarian space 01:13:03 ASEAN limits and regional diplomacy 01:16:15 Why Myanmar’s hybrid case matters
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Insight Myanmar Podcast