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Early voting started today in Texas, there’s a ton of House primaries worth watching — 4 vulnerable incumbents, 10 open seats, and primaries in competitive South Texas seats Read my preview of the Dem primaries (GOP primary preview coming later this week): www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
4mo
Just sixteen lawmakers now represent crossover districts: three Republicans hold seats that Kamala Harris carried, and 13 Democrats hold seats that Donald Trump carried. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest:
Right now, Democrats’ potential tea party movement is united by their fighting attitude — but little else binds them together. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest analysis:
One week out from the special election primary, Adelita Grijalva remains the favorite to succeed her late father in Arizona’s 7th District. Here's @erincovey.bsky.social:
wapo.st/41NRx9e
Mar 19, 2025
Apr 11, 2025
Several House Democrats in the Lone Star State could have their careers cut short this cycle, largely due to the ripple effects of gerrymandering.
Texas Primary Preview: Two House Democrats in Danger of Losing Primaries
www.cookpolitical.com
11mo
Mar 7, 2025
my column will be The Barefoot Prognosticator
Erin Covey
yesterday's election night dish: hailee catalano's smoked trout niçoise. rating: solidly briny
The most exclusive club in Congress might be the class of members who represent crossover districts — those who won elections in seats carried by the opposing party’s presidential nominee.Just sixteen...
www.cookpolitical.com
The Sweet Sixteen: 2024’s Crossover Districts
4mo
As liberal voters become increasingly frustrated by their leaders’ response to the Trump presidency, a crop of young Democrats is attempting to direct that anger at longtime members of Congress.“What ...
Breaking Down the Early Primary Challenges to House Democrats
www.cookpolitical.com
Since the beginning of this year, three Democratic members of Congress have died in office, putting a spotlight on the party’s aging leaders and sparking special elections that pit the party’s old gua...
www.cookpolitical.com
AZ-07 Special: Can Outsider Candidates Block Grijalva’s Path to Victory?
Nate Silver’s website suffered because of Trump and changes in political news coverage.
wapo.st
4mo
Opinion | FiveThirtyEight is gone. Its legacy will endure.
Happy PVI day! We have updated scores for House seats based on the 2024 and 2020 presidential results. Read more here: www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/int...
And here's the full list: www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/202...
Holding the case over means that the current map, with two Black-majority districts, will remain in place for the 2026 midterms. Louisiana now uses partisan primaries for congressional elections and the primary cycle starts in September with the opening of petition gathering.
Apr 3, 2025
Apr 3, 2025
The Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report
11mo
Erin Covey
Erin Covey
Since first descending Trump Tower's golden escalator in 2015, President Donald Trump has been one of the most schismatic political figures in American history. The 2016 election set a modern record f...
www.cookpolitical.com
Below are our 2025 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠) scores for all 435 districts.A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2020 and 2024 presidential electi...
Introducing the 2025 Cook Partisan Voting Index: A Slightly Depolarizing Election
2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)
www.cookpolitical.com
Erin Covey
Erin Covey
Michael Li (李之樸)
the Cook Report should do recipe reviews in off-years