🇦🇺/🇩🇪 climate change/energy economist and policy wonk; former academic (CEEM) and consumer advocate (CUAC); amateur footballer. Personal views. He/him.
Martin Jones
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The Paris Agreement is about "well below 2C" & pursuing 1.5C, it is not about avoiding 4-5C.
This is somewhat lost in the RCP8.5 debate. The science said keep well below 2C, & RCP8.5 is not needed to make that case. Other scenarios were.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
The worst-case scenario for a high-emissions scenario has been revised downward – but the best-case option is now implausible
"This is consistent with the identity-based model of belief: People select information sources and allocate attention toward in-group sources. You then need strong incentives to override their partisan bias"