Ancient & military historian specializing in the Roman economy and military. PhD from UNC History. More impressive credential is that I have beaten both Dark Souls and Elden Ring.
Blogs at acoup.blog
"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux
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I suppose one of the key questions here is how well CENTCOM and the GCC were able to replenish interceptor munition stocks.
But I worry the answer is going to end up being 'not nearly enough' with Iran still having 70+% of its missile and drone capabilities.
In which case we're going to end up back where we started the ceasefire - needing to deescalate to a ceasefire before Iran puts GCC oil infrastructure to the torch - before too long.
I'd imagine the purpose of Iran's attacks right now may be to demonstrate that inevitability.
Bush Sr and Clinton should be higher.
They called him, these big fellows, they called him, with tears in their eyes and they said - and these were big, strong guys, tears in their eyes - they said, "Sir, Sir, please can you stop the bombing?"
Trump reportedly furious to learn that in the Persian Gulf the enemy gets to vote by mail and it may take weeks to finish counting.
I was thinking earlier today that if I were the IRGC looking at escalation options, I might pre-target one of the remaining loaded LNG carriers in the Gulf.
It would be a shocking way to remind the world you still have the leverage over the strait.
That's more than half of the annual budget of the NEH, shot off in a night.
