Political scientist at University of Ottawa. Previously at University of Montreal and University of Vienna - I study polarisation, partisanship and democratic citizenship.
www.semihcakir.com
Semih Çakır
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Excited to share our new paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @krausewe.bsky.social! Parties polling just below an electoral threshold are far less likely to clear it: a self-fulfilling prophecy that diminishes when polls communicate uncertainty. 🗳️📊
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Christina Gahn
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social)
Do opinion polls shape election results?
Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
🎙️ Excited to share a new podcast project: Reasonably Political!
The goal is to make political science more accessible and connect research to real-world debates. 1/2 🧵
First episode is out with Philippe Mongrain from @voxpoplabs.bsky.social
Should politicians follow public opinion or lead? And are politicians and citizens on the same page on this question? 2/2 🧵
🎧You can listen here:
open.spotify.com/episode/7vSD...
🎙️ The second episode of the Reasonably Political Podcast is now out!
Authentic or Scripted? Why Do Some Politicians Seem More “Real” Than Others and Why Does It Matter?
I discuss political authenticity with John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social).
🎧 Listen here: www.buzzsprout.com/2608748/epis...
‼️ New paper with Ian McAllister (ANU) out at @respol.bsky.social. We use @ess-survey.bsky.social data to study over-time changes in the association between education and left-right self-placements.
🚨New publication (with Shane Singh) in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
Proponents of compulsory voting often claim that obligatory turnout will increase citizens' political involvement, equalising levels of democratic attitudes and political engagement in the electorate. But does it? 👇
“Writing is hard.” Thrilled to share that this simple idea led to a new paper in Political Analysis! Where most text methods focus on content, I test if expression is also effortful action. I find simple measures like character counts reveal attitudes and predict voting. cup.org/4cUmoXi 1/
Abstract. For over a century, scholars, policymakers, and advocates have argued that compulsory voting not only boosts turnout but also promotes prodemocra
🚨 Western democracies are often described as polarized. @katharinalawall.bsky.social, @mtsakiris.bsky.social + I study how polarization actually feels.
Now published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we asked citizens in 5 European countries to report their emotions ⬇️
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
@rdassonneville.bsky.social & McAllister show that education divides voters less by changing opinions than by changing political labels, as immigration increasingly shapes how Europeans understand left and right.
Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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