New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social)
Do opinion polls shape election results?
Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
π« New paper!
@elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @theresmatthiess.bsky.social
& I are happy to see our new paper published in open access with the @ejprjournal.bsky.social
Do group-targeted campaign pledges pay off electorally?
We test this with a preregistered survey experiment in Germany.
Heading to the #EPSSBelfast conference next week?
The EPSS Diversity Committee has organized several events to make this a welcoming space for everyone. Quick thread on what's happening and when π
We used to call them βrace riotsβ now we call them βanti-immigration protestsβ.
Political scientist πΏπ¦π³οΈβπ
he/him
https://turnbulldugarte.com
[trying to spend less time on social media]
#ihadablackdog
https://youtu.be/XiCrniLQGYc?si=q-gQTNXfScmgtl4k