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New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
πŸ’« New paper! @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @theresmatthiess.bsky.social & I are happy to see our new paper published in open access with the @ejprjournal.bsky.social Do group-targeted campaign pledges pay off electorally? We test this with a preregistered survey experiment in Germany.
Heading to the #EPSSBelfast conference next week? The EPSS Diversity Committee has organized several events to make this a welcoming space for everyone. Quick thread on what's happening and when πŸ‘‡
We used to call them β€˜race riots’ now we call them β€˜anti-immigration protests’.
Political scientist πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¦πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆ he/him https://turnbulldugarte.com [trying to spend less time on social media] #ihadablackdog https://youtu.be/XiCrniLQGYc?si=q-gQTNXfScmgtl4k
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte