Knowing who is likely to vote for a party doesn’t explain a party’s success.
Better data and methods doesn't negate the risks of drawing conclusions from individual-level findings on the interpretation of elections, write Tim Vlandas and @dafnoukos.bsky.social write on @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Drawing conclusions about electoral outcomes from individual-level findings about who is likely to vote for a party risks distorting how we interpret elections.