Here's a cool write-up that uses a slightly different method to fit a model I experimented with back in 2022, but goes into much more detail.
you ever have a really stupid idea and then a week later you've written 6,000 words and created a whole blog:
anoddandanend.com/posts/2025/m...
it features #magicthegathering, linguistics, and questionable applications of statistical methods. all entirely on brand for me