One of the biggest misses in our (otherwise very accurate) 2017 YouGov MRP was sitting Cabinet ministers, many of whom significantly outperformed our estimates.
It’s probably the reasons Amber Rudd managed to hold on in Hastings despite the model suggesting otherwise.
Chris Curtis MP
Everyone always says people want a local MP with no national ambitions but the truth is cabinet ministers and party leaders ~always do better than their party “should” do on national trends in their constituencies. People like their MP being famous!
