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Forthcoming article "Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events" by Christoph K Becker, Tigran Melkonyan @eugenioproto.bsky.social @andissofianos.bsky.social Stefan T Trautmann @eeanews.bsky.social Teaching materials available: www.eeassoc.org/teaching-mat... doi.org/10.1093/jeea...
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Abstract. Bayesian updating is the dominant theory of learning. However, the theory is silent about how individuals react to events that were previously un
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Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events