Interdisciplinary climate change scientist and communicator • National Geographic Explorer ⛰️ • Assistant Professor at UNAM 🇲🇽
Bernie Bastien-Olvera
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In which @madisoncondon.bsky.social and I expand on our argument that "extreme" climate scenarios, such as RCP 8.5, are actually useful and we should use them as part of climate risk analyses.
Thanks to @progressivereform.bsky.social for encouraging us and giving us space!
Climate change has an impact on the oceans, which in turn affects humanity, including our economy. In this recent paper, we quantify these impacts www.nature.com/articles/s41..., led by @bbastien.bsky.social with @francescogranella.bsky.social @maxtav.bsky.social
within @sparccle.bsky.social project
A new paper led by @bbastien.bsky.social estimates that accounting for climate pollution's impact on the oceans via the one-two punch of warming & acidification nearly doubles the social cost of carbon (which the Trump EPA thinks is $0). My new @climateconnections.bsky.social article & 🧵 (1/8):
Paper @science.org today led by Junna Wang and my @ucdavis.bsky.social colleague Xiaoli Dong.
7-16% of plants at risk of extinction under climate change, largely from vanishing climates, not slow dispersal. But plants will move, reshaping local species composition
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
The final paper from a fantastic interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and economists to better understand climate change impacts on natural capital and implications for policy.
Also produced bangers from @bbastien.bsky.social's dissertation, such as:
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
The social cost of carbon (SCC), a crucial indicator for #climatechange policy, has largely overlooked the significant economic and societal benefits provided by oceans, often referred to as 'blue capital'.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
🔍 Behind the Paper: 'My Neighbor, the Ocean.' 🌊 The system that regulates the planet’s climate barely appeared in climate policy calculations. Not because it had been “wrong” before, but because it had been incomplete.🔗 Read more here: bit.ly/49NXSo4. @bbastien.bsky.social #ClimateChange
As @bbastien.bsky.social told me, improved estimates of the social cost of carbon are still valuable to other countries, and even state governments. And at some point, a future evidence-based administration will be able to make use of it too. Hopefully before the damages become too great (8/8)
New paper with Francisco Estrada!
This is a paper on termination shock risk and the governance challenge of deploying solar geoengineering when international coordination is so hard to achieve.
Paper: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
New Scientist: www.newscientist.com/article/2513...
Vivek Srikrishnan
Johannes Emmerling
Dana Nuccitelli
ClimateFran
ClimateFran
Dana Nuccitelli
Charles Thistlethwaite
Humanities & Social Sciences
A new study details the vast price society is paying for burning coal, oil, and gas.
Country-level changes in economic production and the value of non-market ecosystem benefits show unequal impacts on the global values of natural capital resulting from climate-change-induced shifts in...
Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...
Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...
Solar geoengineering could halve the economic cost of climate change, but stopping it would cause temperatures to rebound sharply, leading to greater damage than unabated global warming
www.newscientist.com
Juan Moreno-Cruz
The climate scenario RCP 8.5 is unfairly understood as "misleading," "controversial," or deceptive. This is unfortunate, write @madisoncondon.bsky.social and @vsrikrish.bsky.social — even if its predicted emissions are unlikely, it's incredibly useful for all kinds of climate modeling
Center for Progressive Reform
progressivereform.org
While the high levels of fossil fuel emissions mapped in the RCP 8.5 scenario are unlikely, it remains an important scenario for modeling future climate impacts, particularly at local scales.
That’s how we officially kick off the semester in my research lab—with ambitious goals, beautiful human beings and delicious tamales!
Check out our new lab page here:
climaysociedad.atmosfera.unam.mx/hub-ecosiste...
