Political scientist, CNRS researcher at Sciences Po, CEE - currently at Centre Marc Bloch in Berlin: researching comparative politics, party competition and how elections shape policy
Isabelle Guinaudeau
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Really interesting study!
The impact is probably even more crucial in countries using majoritarian systems such as France.
Parties increasingly promise benefits to specific groups, (parents, pensioners, rural residents...) This may make promised benefits more visible, concrete and personally relevant – and thus mobilize beneficiaries more effectively.
Why? We find little evidence of a strong ingroup bonus. Instead, support drops among outgroups: voters who are not part of the targeted group, do not identify with it, or see it as less deserving.
There are only a few days left to apply for the UNEQUALMAND workshop in Paris! If interested, make sure to send me your proposal by 31 May 🤗
But in our experiment, targeted pledges produced lower average support than a broad-based pledge.
Group-targeted promises are no easy electoral win. They can be risky appeals.
Link to paper: doi.org/10.1017/S147...
💫 New paper!
@elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @theresmatthiess.bsky.social
& I are happy to see our new paper published in open access with the @ejprjournal.bsky.social
Do group-targeted campaign pledges pay off electorally?
We test this with a preregistered survey experiment in Germany.
Very happy to see this article on ideological gaps in citizens’ deservingness perceptions written with @iguinaudeau.bsky.social & @theresmatthiess.bsky.social published first view by the @epsrjournal.bsky.social ✨
🔗 Read the article here: shorturl.at/XGMk8
🚨 Our article “Who deserves? Ideological gaps in citizens’ deservingness perceptions?” is out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social.
Joint work with @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social and @iguinaudeau.bsky.social from the 🇫🇷🇩🇪 UNEQUALMAND project.
👉🏻 shorturl.at/qoBDU%F0%9F%...
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Risky group appeals? 😱 Our paper on how citizens react to electoral promises targeted at different social groups is published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social
With @iguinaudeau.bsky.social & @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social 🚀
🔓 doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Isabelle Guinaudeau
Isabelle Guinaudeau
Isabelle Guinaudeau
Isabelle Guinaudeau
Isabelle Guinaudeau
Isabelle Guinaudeau
Isabelle Guinaudeau
📣 Call for papers!
Final UNEQUALMAND workshop on social groups, mandate responsiveness & political (in)equality
📍 Sciences Po, Paris
📅 24–25 Sept 2026
🏫 Lodging
🚅 Travel≤€500
📝 Proposals due 31 May
Details: lnkd.in/gjXsmb7y
With @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social and @theresmatthiess.bsky.social
Elisa Deiss-Helbig
Theres Matthieß
Theres Matthieß
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social)
Do opinion polls shape election results?
Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
💫 New paper!
@elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @theresmatthiess.bsky.social
& I are happy to see our new paper published in open access with the @ejprjournal.bsky.social
Do group-targeted campaign pledges pay off electorally?
We test this with a preregistered survey experiment in Germany.
Isabelle Guinaudeau
Risky appeals: The electoral consequences of group-targeted campaign pledges
