Founder & CEO of Canada’s most sought-after and influential polling firm, Abacus Data.
Prof at Carleton University.
Davidcoletto.substack.com
🚴♂️🎾🏔️📈📊
David Coletto
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The story in our latest federal poll isn’t that the Liberals are suddenly in trouble.
It’s that the public mood has shifted.
After months of improvement, optimism about Canada has fallen, approval is down, and the Liberal lead has narrowed.
Read more: abacusdata.ca/liberal-mom...
The Liberals remain in a strong position, but our latest federal tracking shows a clear change in momentum.
Approval is down. Optimism has softened. The race has tightened.
The result: a more competitive political environment than we’ve seen in recent months.
abacusdata.ca/liberal-mom...
Canadians give the Carney government mixed reviews on climate change.
50% believe the government is taking climate change seriously enough.
But only 21% think it's addressing the issue effectively.
abacusdata.ca/climate-con...
What if Canada's biggest export opportunity right now isn't energy, resources, or technology?
What if it's reassurance?
A look at why tourists, conference organizers, investors, and global audiences may be choosing Canada in an age of precarity and uncertainty.
open.substack.com/pub/davidco...
After several waves of growing optimism, Canadians are feeling more cautious.
Our new poll finds
• 40% say Canada is headed in the right direction
• Gov’t approval down 7
• Liberal lead narrows to 8
• Carney’s personal ratings soften
Full analysis: abacusdata.ca/liberal-mom...
Climate change isn't a top issue for most Canadians right now.
But that doesn't mean people don't care.
80% say they're concerned about climate change, including nearly two-thirds of Conservative supporters.
Concern is broad. Urgency is elsewhere.
abacusdata.ca/climate-con...
Climate change may be a classic latent issue.
Not top-of-mind for most voters today, but capable of becoming politically powerful after a major wildfire season, flooding event, or policy controversy.
Concern is rising. Salience is not.
abacusdata.ca/climate-con...
When the mood changes, politics changes.
Our latest Abacus Data federal tracking finds optimism about Canada's direction falling, approval of the federal government dropping, and the Liberal lead narrowing.
Full results: abacusdata.ca/liberal-mom...
I had a great time talking polling, AI, and the future.
One point I made:
"If it's happening in the United States, it's not far behind."
When it comes to public attitudes toward AI and data centres, Canada may simply be a little earlier in the story.
Listen here: youtu.be/i8GSJXPjZY8...
“As long as New Democrat voters are more scared of Poilievre than they are dissatisfied with Carney, it doesn't matter.”
A simple but important insight into the political math facing Conservatives over the next few years.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0kx...
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