Australian climate scientist rambling about climate drivers, variability, risks, trends & impacts. Once played goalie for Antarctica. Born @ 325ppm.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/drandrewwatkins/
Andrew B. Watkins
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Japanese Meteorological Agency declares El Nino underway:
* El Niño conditions are considered to be present in the equatorial Pacific from Spring 2026.
* They are highly likely (100%) to continue until boreal autumn.
ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/prod...
Crikey!
Buckle up.
And I’m almost certain the Y-axis of their outlooks used to only go to 3°C!
NOAA have declared El Niño is underway.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
Happy Hug A Climate Scientist Day!!
(But only hug with permission - we scare easily)
@firstdogonthemoon.bsky.social
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Andrew B. Watkins
Latest Global Indictors report just published. Latest decade (1996-2025) global mean temperature increase since pre industrial of +1.26°C. Largest energy imbalance on record.
Bugger.
essd.copernicus.org/articles/18/...
Notice anything different between the 1 June sea surface temperature maps for the strong El Nino's in 1982, 1997, 2015 and 2026?
climatereanalyzer.org/clim/daily_m...
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
JUST IN: El Nino forms and expected to strengthen, say NOAA forecasters
News release + images: noaa.gov/news-release...
#ElNino #ENSO
@nws.noaa.gov and @noaa.gov