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"Strip away the Latin and the instrument is a forward sale of a standing commodity, the direct ancestor of the contract a desk would write today to go long or short a harvest a season before the harvest exists." As we confront Hormuz and El Niño, my essay on the origins of averages and derivatives:
The Law of Averages
Long before futures or reinsurance, antiquity had its ways of pricing the weather, and one of them still hides in a word every analyst uses.
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Umit Singh Dhuga