New paper by @younesjeddi.bsky.social, @jsegoviamartin.bsky.social & @emiless.bsky.social in Phil Trans B compares crowdsourced vs. LLM forecasting. It explores the accuracy–correlation effect and how AI impacts human judgment in collective intelligence. royalsocietypublishing.org/rstb/article...
royalsocietypublishing.org
Abstract. Over the past quarter century, crowdsourced forecasting has largely outperformed individual forecasters. Today, large language models (LLMs), agg
