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An update on #Ukraine — and how Trump’s war on #Iran clearly doesn’t help.
From “good” to “not good” — and how to get there faster. The weaker Moscow’s hand is on #Ukraine, European security, energy or defence, the higher the chances for Europe to escape yet another Faustian bargain with #Russia.
Please have a look - sometimes a picture is worth a thousand words.
This is not so say that Kyiv is winning — it’s to say that much more can be done for Russia to feel the pain and costs of Putin’s longest war. 4 years since his 3 day “operation” began, Putin is still far from reaching his goals.
Alert: champagne popping in the Kremlin
Being left home alone might be scary-but it can also give us a space to grow more independent & self-confident about our abilities. Enjoyed working w/ @pawelzerka.bsky.social on this @ecfr.eu report & discovering how Europeans are often ahead of their own leaders. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
Not to comment on the substance of the plan but "reverse enlargement" sounds a bit weird. I mean, technically, the reversal of enlargement is...shrinking...or...reducing? Ahem www.politico.eu/article/5-st...
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Europe’s defensive measures to shield its democracies from hybrid attacks are no longer enough. If Europeans want to protect their peace and prosperity, the time is to fight back, write Will Brown, @jkobzova.bsky.social, @nicupopescu.bsky.social and José Ignacio Torreblanca. bit.ly/4bebWIe
Russia is reaping the rewards from Trump’s war in Iran, but the benefits will likely not extend beyond the short term. @jkobzova.bsky.social explains how Europeans can make the long term arrive more quickly: https://bit.ly/4tK0sDN
Plans to bring Kyiv into the tent before it has completed all reforms and to remove Hungary’s veto signal a sense of urgency in Brussels.
www.politico.eu
5 steps to get Ukraine into the EU in 2027
Jana Kobzova
Jana Kobzova
Jana Kobzova
Jana Kobzova
Jana Kobzova
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Jana Kobzova
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Jana Kobzova
Russia is reaping the rewards from Trump’s war in Iran, but the benefits will likely not extend beyond the short term. @jkobzova.bsky.social explains how Europeans can make the long term arrive more quickly: https://bit.ly/4tK0sDN
Europe's defensive measures to shield its democracies from hybrid attacks are no longer enough. If Europeans want to protect their peace and prosperity, the tim
bit.ly
Russia is reaping the rewards from Trump’s war in Iran, but the benefits will likely not extend beyond the short term. Here’s how Europeans can make the long te
From shield to sword: Europe's offensive strategy for the hybrid age – European Council on Foreign Relations
From good to not good: The impact of the war in Iran on Russia – European Council on Foreign Relations
bit.ly
1mo
Russia is reaping the rewards from Trump’s war in Iran, but the benefits will likely not extend beyond the short term. Here’s how Europeans can make the long te
bit.ly
From good to not good: The impact of the war in Iran on Russia – European Council on Foreign Relations
Analysis by @jbdacey.bsky.social, Ellie Geranmayeh, @hlovatt.bsky.social, @cinziabianco.bsky.social, Majda Ruge, @asliaydintasbas.bsky.social, @jkobzova.bsky.social & @ajwsmall.bsky.social 👇️ ecfr.eu/article/a-wa...
"The notion that “time is on the Russian side” betrays a lack of strategic patience and, even more importantly, squandered opportunities to exploit Moscow’s growing structural vulnerabilities", write @jkobzova.bsky.social and Leo Litra. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social https://bit.ly/3LLfQzs
✍️New public opinion polling Like little Kevin in the film, European citizens have woken up to an uncomfortable truth: they've been left Home Alone - by an America on whom many thought they could depend, write bsky.app/profile/jkob... & @pawelzerka.bsky.social ecfr.eu/publication/...
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ECFR
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US and Israeli strikes on Iran have plunged the Middle East into wider war. Retaliation, regional entanglements and disrupted trade make one outcome clear: no s
buff.ly
A war with no winners: The costs of US-Israeli aggression on Iran – European Council on Foreign Relations
Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine has now lasted longer than the Soviet Union’s fight against Nazi Germany, with incomparably smaller gains. The West should stop
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Putin’s longest war: Calling time on Russia’s endurance myth – European Council on Foreign Relations
A major ECFR poll finds the European public, in a time of rupture, thinking differently and questioning old assumptions. It reveals new political space availabl
ecfr.eu
Home alone: Europeans are ready to defend themselves – European Council on Foreign Relations
My best effort at understanding Trump's Board of Peace and its constituent parts. This is the Trump Organisation that the UK, Europe and Arab countries are being asked to buy into as an alternative to the UN. Understandably, many are hesitant.
ECFR
ECFR
4mo
Update to Nixon's Madman Theory: now with no theory, but with an actual madman.
4mo
Hugh Lovatt
ECFR MENA
Ruth Deyermond
🎧 This week @markhleonard.bsky.social welcomes @jkobzova.bsky.social to discuss how the war in Iran is reshaping Ukraine’s war effort, from US support to shifting European unity. Listen to the latest podcast episode: https://bit.ly/4lVdNXj
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Mark Leonard is joined by Jana Kobzova to discuss how the war in Iran is affecting Ukraine, from US support to shifting European unity
bit.ly
What the Iran war means for Ukraine – European Council on Foreign Relations
ECFR