An update on #Ukraine — and how Trump’s war on #Iran clearly doesn’t help.
From “good” to “not good” — and how to get there faster. The weaker Moscow’s hand is on #Ukraine, European security, energy or defence, the higher the chances for Europe to escape yet another Faustian bargain with #Russia.
Please have a look - sometimes a picture is worth a thousand words.
This is not so say that Kyiv is winning — it’s to say that much more can be done for Russia to feel the pain and costs of Putin’s longest war. 4 years since his 3 day “operation” began, Putin is still far from reaching his goals.
Alert: champagne popping in the Kremlin
Being left home alone might be scary-but it can also give us a space to grow more independent & self-confident about our abilities.
Enjoyed working w/ @pawelzerka.bsky.social on this @ecfr.eu report & discovering how Europeans are often ahead of their own leaders. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
Not to comment on the substance of the plan but "reverse enlargement" sounds a bit weird. I mean, technically, the reversal of enlargement is...shrinking...or...reducing? Ahem
www.politico.eu/article/5-st...
Europe’s defensive measures to shield its democracies from hybrid attacks are no longer enough. If Europeans want to protect their peace and prosperity, the time is to fight back, write Will Brown,
@jkobzova.bsky.social, @nicupopescu.bsky.social and José Ignacio Torreblanca.
bit.ly/4bebWIe
Russia is reaping the rewards from Trump’s war in Iran, but the benefits will likely not extend beyond the short term.
@jkobzova.bsky.social explains how Europeans can make the long term arrive more quickly: https://bit.ly/4tK0sDN
Plans to bring Kyiv into the tent before it has completed all reforms and to remove Hungary’s veto signal a sense of urgency in Brussels.
Russia is reaping the rewards from Trump’s war in Iran, but the benefits will likely not extend beyond the short term.
@jkobzova.bsky.social explains how Europeans can make the long term arrive more quickly: https://bit.ly/4tK0sDN
Europe's defensive measures to shield its democracies from hybrid attacks are no longer enough. If Europeans want to protect their peace and prosperity, the tim
bit.ly
Russia is reaping the rewards from Trump’s war in Iran, but the benefits will likely not extend beyond the short term. Here’s how Europeans can make the long te
Russia is reaping the rewards from Trump’s war in Iran, but the benefits will likely not extend beyond the short term. Here’s how Europeans can make the long te
"The notion that “time is on the Russian side” betrays a lack of strategic patience and, even more importantly, squandered opportunities to exploit Moscow’s growing structural vulnerabilities", write @jkobzova.bsky.social and Leo Litra.
@ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/3LLfQzs
✍️New public opinion polling
Like little Kevin in the film, European citizens have woken up to an uncomfortable truth: they've been left Home Alone - by an America on whom many thought they could depend, write bsky.app/profile/jkob... & @pawelzerka.bsky.social
ecfr.eu/publication/...
ECFR
ECFR
ECFR
US and Israeli strikes on Iran have plunged the Middle East into wider war. Retaliation, regional entanglements and disrupted trade make one outcome clear: no s
Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine has now lasted longer than the Soviet Union’s fight against Nazi Germany, with incomparably smaller gains. The West should stop
A major ECFR poll finds the European public, in a time of rupture, thinking differently and questioning old assumptions. It reveals new political space availabl
My best effort at understanding Trump's Board of Peace and its constituent parts.
This is the Trump Organisation that the UK, Europe and Arab countries are being asked to buy into as an alternative to the UN. Understandably, many are hesitant.
ECFR
ECFR
Update to Nixon's Madman Theory: now with no theory, but with an actual madman.
Hugh Lovatt
ECFR MENA
Ruth Deyermond
🎧 This week @markhleonard.bsky.social welcomes @jkobzova.bsky.social to discuss how the war in Iran is reshaping Ukraine’s war effort, from US support to shifting European unity.
Listen to the latest podcast episode: https://bit.ly/4lVdNXj
Mark Leonard is joined by Jana Kobzova to discuss how the war in Iran is affecting Ukraine, from US support to shifting European unity