🗳️ Scottish politics & elections | 📊 Quant social & political science | 💼 Associate Advisory Director @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social |📜 Associate Member @ccc-research.bsky.social | 🖋️ in various publications
Mark McGeoghegan
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Most people in Scotland think Keir Starmer should go before the next GE, but views on his rivals for UK Labour leadership are not particularly favourable either. See below for more on this, as well as views on whether Anas Sarwar should lead Scottish Labour into the next Holyrood election.
What do people in Scotland make of the politicians mentioned as future Labour leadership hopefuls? New
@ipsosinscotland.bsky.social polling suggests they have yet to impress the Scottish public. www.ipsos.com/en-uk/labour...
Self-described party of business interests in backing the far right over milquetoast liberalism shock.
...particularly when we're not actually at war and our adversary doesn't look particularly threatening.
'Voters need to accept any hardship asked of them to fund the defence to the degree military leaders deem necessary' is not a winning argument to a public under increasing cost pressures for daily necessities.
I should say that the "middle-class couple" in this example are my wife and I. The baby box is brilliant, but we had the income and familial support to afford everything in it and know what we'd need. When it comes to making difficult spending decisions, a baby box for people like us is an easy cut.
Do we need to spend more on defence? Yes. Is Healey right to resign over the pigs ear that the Treasury and No 10 have made of the DIP? Yes.
That said, I don't think defence experts going on Sky News and saying we need to adopt an attitude of "eating grass" before kowtowing to Russia helps.
Ultimately, it's not social democracy to have a welfare state that can't solve child poverty but can deliver an unneeded baby box to a middle class couple. Speaking as one of the people who pays more tax in Scotland to afford our higher welfare spending, it could and should be spent better.
...namely the lack of a coherent theory of the welfare state - what its priorities should be, what it should fund, how it should fund them - in favour of niche, universalist policies that cost a great deal but are electorally inoffensive to Neil's sneering middle classes.
I've been thinking a lot about Neil's interview with the RtF Commission alongside @stephenboydippr.bsky.social's critique of the SNP's 'timid' brand of social democracy.
The challenges the former is talking about are ultimately a consequence of the problems the latter identifies...
Ipsos’ latest Scottish polling finds a majority of the Scottish public think Keir Starmer should go before the next General Election, but none of his current Labour rivals receives a net positive rati...
What do people in Scotland make of the politicians mentioned as future Labour leadership hopefuls? New
@ipsosinscotland.bsky.social polling suggests they have yet to impress the Scottish public. www.ipsos.com/en-uk/labour...
Mark McGeoghegan
Mark McGeoghegan
Mark McGeoghegan
Ipsos in Scotland
Rachel Ormston
Mark McGeoghegan
Mark McGeoghegan
www.ipsos.com
Ipsos’ latest Scottish polling finds a majority of the Scottish public think Keir Starmer should go before the next General Election, but none of his current Labour rivals receives a net positive rati...
