Conditional Probabilities Are Hard, Example #1073:
WSJ seemingly equates "P(X|Y) is low" (post text) with "P(Y|X) is low" (headline text).
(With the nuance that, in this case, both are presumably true, even though one need not imply the other!)
Kids who are stars in sports and music don’t usually grow up to be stars as adults, a new study found. 🔗 on.wsj.com/3KPddMF
