ELO naturally underrates the US because they didn't have to play competitive games in this qualifying cycle / rotated heavily to serve the evaluation process for *this* tournament. last night's result more a product of "Good Side that Performed Poorly" x "Slightly Better Side that Performed Well"
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Not sure the comments about the USMNT overwhelming a third-rate Paraguay team are realistic. By ELO, Paraguay rated ahead of the US before last night. (They're now tied.)
Opta had Paraguay 30th and the US 36th before the tournament.
Paraguay beat Argentina and Brazil (at home) in qualifying.
