Does a lot of stuff with the tropics and not much else. TCs are cool
UM ‘26 --> B.S.M.A.S. Meteorology + Mathematics
UAH '28
Deelan Jariwala
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Feel like most of its too niche to find widespread use, which is totally fine because its hosted on github rather than a dedicated server, but I mean if it benefits literally anyone, that's better than no one. It's mostly for my own convenience, anyway.
Also, I graduated
I mostly lurk here (sorry, Twitter is much more entertaining to scroll + group chats), but I think this is a good platform to plug the webpage I had Claude put together to host a lot of the random projects I had lying around on my laptop: tcalert.github.io/cycloweb/
Half a million people watching a video who's title implies that NOAA/NHC/CSU are wrong about the hurricane season forecast is probably nothing
Here are updated verifications for 2025, AL/EP combined, EMXI not available. Impressed that NHC is beating everything, including consensus, for intensity, and everything but Google DeepMind (GDMI) for track. Rough year for GFS and the statistical intensity aids. Banner year for GDMI.
Deelan Jariwala
Deelan Jariwala
Deelan Jariwala
With about 80% of the precincts reporting I've seen enough. GDMI - Google DeepMind is going to win the seat for best track model in 2025. The race for best intensity model is still too close to call, but GDMI is right there with the consensus and OFCL. Quite a remarkable campaign.
I'd like list a couple pet peeves of mine that regular folks & professional mets have done this #hurricane season that is poor form:
(1) Naming storms before they are actually named.
(2) Sharing deterministic model forecasts (including AI models) beyond 5-7 days.
Allow me a mini-rant to explain:🧵
Yesterday, #Podul moved over #Taiwan as a 95 kt #typhoon.
A unique feature seen w/ TCs near Taiwan is a blowup of seemingly cold convection (<-80C) as core moves over the island.
Turns out it's mostly thick cirrus w/o much sfc precip due to vertically propagating mountain waves. Diagnosed below⤵️
It's the first day of hurricane season in the Atlantic. TC-ATLAS now features a real-time monitoring page with geostationary and microwave satellite data, real-time surface observations, and objective model forecasts from Google DeepMind. michaelfischerwx.github.io/TC-ATLAS/rea...
Interested in hurricanes? I want to introduce TC-ATLAS: the Tropical Cyclone Analysis Tool for Live and Archived Structure. Explore live or past storms without writing a line of code or downloading a data file, building on the capabilities of TC-RADAR: michaelfischerwx.github.io/TC-ATLAS/ind...
Further west ensemble members have stronger ridging over the eastern half of North America. However, members with stronger ridging in this region also tend to have a more intense system over the southwestern Atlantic! HAFS-A shows that this is a product of flow becoming more WNW with height.
