🌡The May 2026 Climate Bulletin from #CopernicusClimate reports the 2nd-warmest May globally, 1.42°C above the pre-industrial level. Western Europe saw an early & intense heatwave, while the global average sea surface temperature reached 20.90°C, 2nd-highest on record for May.
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For thirty years of my career studying this, I considered the #AMOC tipping risk serious but low probability.
Why I've changed my mind. ⬇️
youtu.be/Cg0N9MWw9Vk?...
China's gasoline car sales plunge 41.8% in May as combustion era fades
China's domestic sales of traditional fuel passenger vehicles fell to 497,000 units in May, down 357,000 units from a year earlier. cnev.co/RvyQBbc 👇
I speak about climate futures, mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisis. 🇿🇦
Fan of ephemeral social media
Posts delete after 60 days.
Signal: https://peterdutoit.com/signal
Website: https://peterdutoit.com
PDS: https://www.eurosky.tech
Peter du Toit
YouTube video by Earth System Analysis - Potsdam Institute
In Bonn this week, climate activists and members of the press are facing unprecedented barriers to one of the most important conferences of the year.
Restricting spaces for civil society risks weakening accountability precisely when Parties should be rebuilding trust in multilateral climate action.
China's domestic sales of traditional fuel passenger vehicles fell to 497,000 units in May, down 357,000 units from a year earlier.
In our seasonal forecast from 1 June 2026, we are introducing the Relative Niño indices.
Recommended by @wmo-global.bsky.social, this is an additional measure of El Niño strength alongside more traditional Niño 3.4 SST anomalies. It's expected to be readily adopted.
➡️ www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...
CnEVPost
Climate activists and members of the press are facing unprecedented barriers to one of the most important environmental conferences of the year.
Don't trust the judgement of anyone who remains on X.
Well there you have it. James Hansen et al proved right again.
Using the ERA5 dataset the average between the max. and min. 12-month running averages is 1.53ºC
Hansen quote: www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
ERA5 data: climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-...
NEW from from JMA (June 10)
"El Niño conditions are considered to be present in the equatorial Pacific from Spring 2026. They are highly likely (100%) to continue until boreal autumn."
Full update here: ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/prod...
#ElNino
Also Hansen et al Feb 6, 2026:
"We projected a min. of 1.4°C to be achieved by the second quarter of 2026. A min. about 1.4°C will be strong support of global temperature acceleration, as such La Nina min. is higher than any El Nino max. in the prior decade, which included a “Super El Nino.”
ECMWF
Climate Action Network (CAN) Europe
www.columbia.edu
Peter du Toit
Peter du Toit
Peter du Toit
Peter du Toit
Peter du Toit
I've been a broken record on this for three years and I'll be a broken record for as long as that fucking website exists:
X is a viciously racist far-right organising platform that ONLY WORKS because a huge number of centrists, lefties and progressivs cannot stop propping it up
I'm stuck on this—the WaPo editorial board uncritically repeated a lie that right-wing rage merchants manufactured by selectively editing a video then splattering it across X. It seems these guys' brains have been so cooked by Elon's algorithm that they can no longer identify MAGA-manipulated slop.
The use of social media in planning violent protests over the Belfast knife attack has drawn condemnation, with Britain's ruling Labour Party accusing Elon Musk of stoking divisions. The tech billiona...
