SNF-Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Zurich. Interested in Human Rights, State Repression, and International Organizations. Also in football.
Homepage: www.christophsteinert.de
Christoph Valentin Steinert
Loading...
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social)
Do opinion polls shape election results?
Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
What happens when people receive new information about a contentious policing event? We find that while most individuals update their beliefs about the appropriateness of police use of force, far-right respondents are less responsive to new factual information about police misconduct. (5/8)
We exposed people to the same descriptions of police misconduct and varied whether the incidents occurred in a pro- or anti-immigration protest. On average, German citizens are less likely to consider the incidents as police violence when the targets are protesters in favor of immigration. (2/8)
These results exceeded our expectations insofar as they were not restricted to extremists: all but centrist respondents were initially more approving of police violence when it was directed against their political opponents. (4/8)
Hence, our study identified a substantial degree of information-resistance of the radical right in evaluations of police misconduct, which cannot be corrected through objective information from video footage. (6/8)
The German population evaluates cases of police misconduct as less severe when they occur in protests against immigration compared to protests in favor of immigration. This is a key finding of our new study forthcoming in the Journal of Politics. (1/8)
Rightist citizens consider police violence as lower in protests in favor of immigration, whereas leftists respondents consider police violence as lower in protests against immigration. However, the treatment effect is larger for rightist respondents compared to leftist respondents. (3/8)
Overall, our study shows that people evaluate police violence conditional on the identity of the targets. While it is unsurprising that ideology influences approval of the police, it is concerning if public opinion about police force is conditional on the identity of "who" is being targeted. (7/8)
See here the link to our forthcoming study:
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... (8/8)
Germany is the epicentre of the China Shock 2.0 reverberating in global markets
In a new joint paper, CFR's Brad Setser and I show the shock is a key driver of Germany’s economic malaise. And it's accelerating
Berlin needs to stop admiring the problem, and join efforts to fight back
1/many
