According to the May @apsa.bsky.social's eJobs bulletin, tenure-track job postings are still 27% below where they were at this point in the 2023–24 cycle.
Still counting votes, but the breadth of the shift towards Paxton, and how modestly the shift varies geographically, is striking
The vivid partisan sorting of US house districts by income and party -- 2005 -2024
Given declining US confidence in institutions overall, striking that low election confidence is *not* a secular trend--instead 2020 is the disjuncture.
Plot shows the winner/loser effect demonstrated by
Charles Stewart and others. Data from @mitelectionlab.bsky.social
Bookmakers have shifted Democratic chances of winning the White House in 2028 by 2pp since the start of the Iran war
This compares each market to the average post 2016 year:
In the April @apsa.bsky.social ejobs release, we're still tracking a 30% decline in political science tenure track jobs since 2023-24.
Pedagogical opportunity to remind undergraduates that the Democratic party used to dominate the presidential vote in the Mahoning Valley.
Political Science's academic job market having its worst post-Covid year -- almost 20% fewer jobs than at the same point in the previous cycle (which itself was bad!)
Data scraped from APSA ejobs pdfs.
Striking partisan stability in Israel/Gaza attitudes in the 2025 CES study
