Information bleeds across venues, with insider trading on one exchange (Polymarket, where trader identities are not known even to the platform) leading to insider-like trading elsewhere, as CASBS fellow @rajivsethi.bsky.social elucidates in his latest - and always insightful - Substack post
Really insightful, original, and well-written piece on prediction markets... I've been speaking with a lot of journalists recently about these issues and the conversation with @miasato.bsky.social was among the most engaging:
New post on the pressures squeezing American higher education
open.substack.com/pub/rajivset...
Universities must find ways to prevent the atrophy of traditional skills while helping students acquire new competences that leverage the enormous power of artificial intelligence, writes @rajivsethi.bsky.social in his Substack. Otherwise, students will have been let down by those universities.
“A more sophisticated trader would have been harder to catch, given the absence of identity verification on Polymarket,” says CASBS fellow @rajivsethi.bsky.social , consulted in this @wsj.com piece on recent prediction market controversies
www.wsj.com/finance/curr...
🎙️ NEW CASBS PODCAST EPISODE
"Network Science's Chief Economist"
Former CASBS fellow @jacksonmatthewo.bsky.social chats w/current fellow @rajivsethi.bsky.social on Matt's foundational work & empirical applications of the economics of networks & new work w/LLMs
🎧 casbs.stanford.edu/podcast#matt...
Trust-building in prediction markets
Polymarket's main prediction market seeks re-entry into the U.S. Approval must be conditioned on some form of identity verification, writes CASBS fellow @rajivsethi.bsky.social in @financialtimes.com . Rajiv outlines three approaches
www.ft.com/content/c461...
New post on a recent conversation with Matt Jackson
open.substack.com/pub/rajivset...
Fantastic conference later this week in honor of Andrew Gelman @columbiauniversity.bsky.social @statmodeling.bsky.social
gelman60.com/schedule
The following remarks were prepared for delivery to the board of the Teagle Foundation a couple of weeks ago.
An interesting possibility I had not considered, re: the apparent insider trading around the Iran war and other Trump admin actions.
Back in February of this year I had the opportunity to speak with Matt Jackson for the Human Centered podcast. This is the official podcast of the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences ...
New: You’ve seen the X posts claiming to find “insiders” on Polymarket. Some may be legit, but many more are potentially bogus, often marked as ads.
False flag insider trading has become lucrative — for traders and prediction market exchanges. Gift link: www.theverge.com/business/905...
New post on information contagion across venues:
open.substack.com/pub/rajivset...
New post on information contagion across venues:
open.substack.com/pub/rajivset...
