An unusually well-written and technically accurate description of the current and likely future NHC cone graphics. The use of along- and cross-track errors is a clever enhancement, although it won’t stop people from ignoring the legend.
James Franklin
Fun fact: People often think the hurricane "cone of uncertainty" encompasses *all* potential storm locations. It's actually more like two-thirds. A new experimental cone bumps up the inclusion rate from 67% to 90%. @climateconnections.bsky.social
yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/05/chec...
The inland extent of watches and warnings will now be included, and an experimental cone will capture more areas at risk.